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What's New  April-May, 2004

Market Snapshot - Japan
Opportunity in a shrinking workforce

Each month the Japanalyzer takes you inside one of Japan’s IT industries- showing you who’s who and where the market is heading. This month we focus an important driver for all industries in Japan, the Japanese workforce- which unfortunately, is shrinking as a result of the graying of Japan. Two important phenomenon are behind this critical change: the increasing longevity of the Japanese and the falling birthrate. Of the two, the low birthrate seems to cause the most concern amongst Japanese bureaucrats who understand the social and economic implications of such trends. In reality, Japan now has one of the lowest birthrates in the world at 1.33. But others see that such socioeconomic shifts can also yield opportunity for new businesses, technologies, and ideas. Instead of being a problem for Japan, a smaller population may actually solve some issues in the long run.

The first and most obvious victim of a shrinking population is the Japanese retirement system. Less taxpayers means less funds available to pay retirees- a story similar to the plight of the Social Security system in the US. One way out of the situation is to increase taxes but most politicians are reluctant to pursue such action unless there is no other resort. A better alternative is to increase the workforce and for this a solution exists- Immigration. A recent UN report forecast that to maintain the size of its working population, Japan would need 17 million new immigrants by 2050. Japan’s population would grow from 1% foreign to 18% in such a scenario. Immigration would not only solve the retirement funding problem and help maintain Japan’s economy but it could also spark new innovation in much the way the immigrants have fueled Silicon Valley. Despite the pent up demand for IT engineers from China and India, there are few more of them in the US than in Japan. Others have suggested that making it easier for women to return to the workforce after childbirth, could bolster the workforce population. The upside is similar to that of an immigrant flow: diversity, more talent, and innovation in the workforce.

Yet even if the Japanese workforce were to increase modestly it would probably never be enough. Some entrepreneurs have started to realize this and are developing products/services that take advantage of the new social paradigm of an aging/shrinking Japan. Matsushita has developed a series of companion robots (forms include cats, wombats, and bears) that have a microcomputer and a local network connection. The robots sole purpose is to watch over the elderly in a retirement home. The robots monitor patients' response times to spoken questions. They record how long they spend performing various tasks, before relaying conclusions to staff or alerting them to unexpected changes. The voice recognition interface helps remove the barriers presented by using traditional computers for similar tasks. Meanwhile Toyota announced recently its plans to develop partner robots designed to function as personal assistants for humans including the elderly.

What Toyota and Matsushita have come to realize is that by substituting robots for people (because there are less people to work) to service the people most in need (the increasing elderly) they are developing a new business model for Japanese society and perhaps all aging societies.

Some would even say that a smaller Japanese population might actually be good for Japanese business. Less workers means a less crowded Tokyo making the quality of life and work better for everyone. Japanese workers are known for working longer hours yet are in reality, less productive by the hour than Western counterparts. A smaller workforce would force Japanese companies to be more productive (the phenomenon experienced by American companies after the dotcom bubble burst). A drive for such productivity would also likely generate new innovations as Japanese IT suppliers would seek out ways to streamline customer business processes.

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This Month's Bridge Builder
Featuring the real voice of IT across the Pacific

April-May, 2004 

How one American “made it” in Japan
Mr. Jay Smith, Visiting Lecturer, Kyocera Venture Business Program, Kagoshima University

It’s difficult enough for an entrepreneur to find business success in Japan: the red tape, the tight fund raising, the over-complex supply chain, the stigma associated with entrepreneurs. It’s as if the system conspires against the newcomer, stifling whatever creativity and innovation a business founder can bring to bear. But imagine the added difficulties the foreigner faces and you can understand why there are so few Americans who’ve successfully built businesses in Japan. It’s simply too much of a challenge. But for people like Mr. Jay Smith, those challenges can be turned into a source of strength. The Asia-Pacific Student Entrepreneurship Society (ASES) at Stanford recently had Mr. Smith speak on the topic of US-Japan entrepreneurship. Mr. Smith regaled the audience with his success story and gave some helpful advice for anyone interested in working within the Japanese marketplace. This month’s Bridge Builder features key highlights from his presentation.

Mr. Smith gave the audience some historical perspective by explaining that when he first went to Japan in 1989 as part of his studies at the Harvard Business School, Japan was still very much “a mecca for business”, the envy of economies worldwide. He was so impressed with the country that he decided to work there, first as a consultant for a Booz Allen- spinoff consulting firm. Mr. Smith said his most interesting consulting experience was the sale of cup noodles via catalog in Russia. What impressed him about the project was that he actually found someone at the Japanese noodle company willing to work on the concept. The point of learning being that even in conservative Japanese companies, you can find youthful mid-level managers, “young turks” he called them, willing to become a champion for an idea they believe in.

After his consulting employment, Mr. Smith decided to go the entrepreneurial route by starting IAC, initially an import/export company focused on selling wines in Japan, art, and software. Eventually the company grew into IT services and as the Internet started to take hold in Japan, IAC turned to providing a BBS service complete with free e-mail. IAC became known, particularly in the foreign community, as a local resource for all things Internet: registration, advertising, and dialup. As the company expanded it required capital and Mr. Smith spearheaded the effort to successfully raise $4 million from a foreign hedge-fund active in Japan. The increase in capital allowed IAC to take on website creation, access, and training for the Internet and even delve deeper into online content. The company bought and ran the Tokyo Journal magazine from 1996-1997. IAC eventually grew to 60 employees and several million dollars in sales. Competition from local ISPS eventually caused a cash crunch, forcing the founders to sell the company in 1998. However, the company’s free email service (Jmail www.jmail.co.jp  ) remains today as a testament to the company’s achievements.

Throughout his presentation and the ensuing panel discussion, Mr. Smith continued to share his thoughts on doing business in Japan as a foreigner. One theme was that the incumbent Japanese bureaucracy simply didn’t understand the Internet and the plight of the entrepreneur back in the mid-1990’s. For example, to make IAC into an official corporation (which at the time meant having $100,000 in capital in the bank), Mr. Smith had to buy a defunct company and change the name to get around the cash requirement. To get an Internet address, IAC was told by JPNIC (the Japanese registry) that the rule was “one company one domain”. So IAC asked to register “japan.co.jp”. In response, JPNIC was puzzled as to why IAC would want such a name. Mr. Smith clearly recalled the question from JPNIC: “Why would you want such a domain name? Everyone will come to your website.” IAC ultimately got the domain, a fact that later became an embarrassment for JPNIC for not realizing the significance at the time. However, Mr. Smith was also quick to point out the advantages rather than hurdles faced by foreign entrepreneurs in Japan. He mentioned that when he started doing business in Japan at the age of 24 he found it much easier to obtain meetings with senior executives than his local counterparts of the same age. Mr. Smith and the panel attributed to this to the general attitude in Japan that foreign businessman are welcome and respected.

For more information on Stanford ASES, please visit them on the web at http://ases.stanford.edu/. Mr. Jay Smith can be reached at jay@bizsmith.com .


Previous Interviews

Upcoming Events,

Business Show Tokyo
May 11-14, 2004, Tokyo Big Sight (Tokyo International Exhibition Center)
Consists of four separate specialty trade fairs: Mobile and Network Solution Fair, Digital Document Solution Fair, Business Software and System Solution Fair , Office Management Solution FairVenture.

Business & Technology Fair 2004 Kansai - Information Technology Synthesis Fair
May 19-22, 2004, Intex Osaka
General IT and business exhibits focused on Network security, IT industry-university cooperation, Japan-China IT exchanges Japan-South Korea IT exchanges, IP& mobile practical uses, digital production systems, and IT ventures.

LinuxWorld Tokyo
June 2-4, 2004, Tokyo Big Sight (Tokyo International Exhibition Center)
An exhibition of Hardware, Software, SI, Services, Publications for Linux Technology.

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