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What's New  December 2001

Market Snapshot - Japan
DSL Services

Each month the Japanalyzer takes you inside one of Japan's IT industries- showing you who's who and where the market is heading. This month we focus on DSL service which has been experiencing phenomenal growth since initiated by Tokyo Metallic in late 1999. DSL is an industry receiving wide publicity in Japan due to its link with the recently announced e-Japan strategy- a government proclamation to bring broadband to most Japanese households over the coming years.


Current Market Size (9/30): 650,796 subscribers
Growth Rate: 27% from 8/30, 22% from 7/31
Market Predictions: 1 million subscribers by end of 2001, 5 million by 2005
Cable Broadband Subscribers (9/01): 1.5 million
ISDN Subscribers: 10 million
Dial-up Accounts: 19.23 million
Internet enabled cell phone: 44.94 million
# of Households in Japan: 44 million

Key Players:

Nippon Telephone & Telegraph


Location: Tokyo, Japan
Website: http://www.ntt.co.jp/index_e.html
Revenue: $92 billion
President: Jun-ichiro Miyazu
Market Share: 59% as of 9/30
Comment: As Japan's national telecommunication provider, NTT has the dominant position in the market both as a wholesaler (it owns the copper lines to the home) and retailer though it's subsidiary companies (NTT East and West primarily). NTT's challenge is to manage it's own portfolio of broadband services (Dial-up, ISDN, DSL, Fiber to the home, 3G wireless) while fending off competition from upstart providers.

Yahoo Japan


Location: Tokyo, Japan
Website: http://www.yahoo.co.jp
Revenue: $106 million
President: Masahiro Inoue
Market Share: approx. 20% as of 9/30
Comment: Yahoo BB's ADSL subscriber base has grown dramatically over recent months, outpacing all competitors. Part of the boom is related to cut-rate pricing of under $18.30 per month. Yahoo now generates 43.2 percent of its revenues from ad sales and 43.2 percent from the ADSL business. In order to break even, Yahoo Japan is said to need 1 million ADSL subscribers but has already signed that number up but is waiting on installations.

eAccess


Location: Tokyo, Japan
Website: http://www.eaccess.co.jp/en/index.html
Revenue: N/A
CEO: Sachio Semmoto
Market Share: 5-8% as of 9/30
Comment: Founded in 1999 by ex-telecom analyst Eric Gan and CEO Sachio Semmoto the company has received $166 million from Goldman, Sachs & Co., Morgan Stanley Dean Witter and others to date. The company has strategic relationships in places with Microsoft, Korea Teleocom, Japan Telecom and several major Japanese ISPs. The company has been competing aggressively on both pricing and depth of offerings- the company recently announced 8M ADSL service starting from approx. $22/month.

Trends:


The DSL service market is in the middle of a price war with startup providers offering massive discounts in order to gain market share. Most opinions are that this can't last and one company has already succumbed- Tokyo Metallic recently sold out to Softbank for roll-up into Yahoo.
The government's e-Japan strategy announced earlier this year calls for the wiring of 30 million homes for high-speed Internet access by 2005. Most experts agree this is a stretch goal but NTT (still partly owned by the government) is squarely behind the strategy.
DSL as a technology, faces the strong competition from other technologies. In particular, Fiber to the home (FTTH) is on the offering schedule for NTT and as prices drop, may start to gain the bulk of new broadband subscriptions
Foreign influence on the Japanese DSL market may be most strong from Korea, which has the highest per capita usage of DSL in the world. Korea Telecom has thrown its hat in the ring through a relationship with eAccess.

Helpful Links:

@pan Inc feature on broadband:
"Mission Impossible For Broadband Providers?" www.japaninc.com/mag/comp/2001/06/
jun01_mission.html

DSL Prime
Contains limited information on DSL in Japan
www.dslprime.com/

ISP Planet
Information on worldwide DSL numbers including Japan
www.isp-planet.com/research/rankings/
dsl_worldwide.html

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This Month's Bridge Builder
Featuring the real voice of IT across the Pacific

December, 2001 

Mr. NatsumeLeading the way in Silicon Valley
Mr. Toshiaki Natsume,
President, Ryosho USA

Japan's trading companies can be considered US-Japan bridges all unto themselves. Their major role in developing Japan's postwar economy is widely respected and they remain a powerful industry today. The best known of trading companies has typically emerged from within Japanese manufacturing as a tool for the distribution of products: the Mitsubishi Group's Ryoden Trading is no exception. Starting as a domestic distributor of Mitsubishi electronics, today's Ryoden Shoji (aka:Ryosho) is now an international player in semiconductors and advanced technologies. Two years ago, Ryosho USA established an office in Silicon Valley with the intent of exploring new US technologies for export to the Japanese market. This month's interview focuses on the head of that effort, Mr. Toshiaki Natsume- President of Ryosho USA.

Q. Mr. Natsume, tell us about yourself and your career with Ryosho?

A. I'm a graduate of Keio University where I majored in Industrial and Mechanical Engineering. My first job out of Keio was a brief stint at Nippon Denso where I focused on effective manufacturing based on Toyota's method in the manufacturing controls division. After that, I joined Ryosho where I have been since 1984. I have always been in Sales and Business Development but during the 90's, I focused exclusively on developing our domestic Japanese business. I had the unique task of finding new customers, partners and promotion related activities in addition to our existing Mitsubishi relationships. I became interested in this role because I always had to be aware that customers' true satisfaction must not be limited to just Mitsubishi products, but to new solutions that can contribute to rapid business expansion in the future. When it was decided three years ago that Ryosho would invest in a US semiconductor company called Zilog (FAK:Caliber), I was picked to come to the US in order to manage and protect the relationship with that company, and further develop our business here.

Q. Please tell us about Ryosho- its history and main services.

A. Ryosho was actually founded in 1947 as two separate companies which later merged called Riko Trading and Daiko Trading. Riko and Daiko were both focused on electronics and electronic components- mostly of Mitsubishi family products (both companies sprang from the Mitsubishi Group). The name was changed in 1958 to Ryoden trading and today has over1200 employees in Japan, the US, Singapore, Hong Kong, and Korea. Our core business remains electronics and semiconductors but now less that 50% of the products we resell are from Mitsubishi. We are a public company but still owned 30% by the Mitsubishi Group. Our import and export business each generate over $100 million/year. In addition to working with electronics and semiconductors, we also have divisions for industrial products, graphics and data communications, and control systems to name a few.

Q. What is the mission of Ryosho USA and what are your responsibilities?

A. Our current purpose is to research and develop new technologies from the US for distribution to the Japanese market. I'm here to identify new solutions and play an informational role to the company headquarters in Tokyo. Accomplishing this mission has been even harder than I was expecting, although some people, who had gone through this and given up in the end, told me about such difficulty. However, through all the experiences that I have had here so far, I've just begun to see the light at the end of the tunnel. As a matter of fact, next year we plan on being a profit center, by engaging in reselling in the US market. So my goal here is not only to make this office function, but to develop and firmly stabilize it.

Q. You've been here a few years. How do you like Silicon Valley? What do you find are the challenges and good points?

A. I like it here and would like to stay in this region until I can consolidate my perspectives on the future. I'm not sure how long it's going to take, but I will keep trying. I particularly enjoy and place a high value on developing relationships with key people here and not just for my company. The biggest challenge I have faced is that our operation here is so new that I have to setup everything we do here. I'm all by myself in a sense. However, the nicest thing about doing business here is the open and free business culture. People here are more direct and aggressive- this leads to faster decisions and deal making, which I prefer.

Q. Final question: what kind of new technologies are you looking for to bring to Japan and why?

A. MPEG4- because it's the next generation solution and very useful for mobile in Japan IEEE802.11- because all networks are moving to wireless and Japan is similar Biotech- because it's hot and my company has not really looked at this yet Battery Technology- important because of its use in mobile devices.

I am also interest in finding US companies such as ASPs and/or ERPs for the information and communications division of Ryosho but this is not that easy for trading companies to get involved with as such. This is mostly due to the nature of such companies preferring to deal directly with the customers. Again, the significant role of a trading company is to leverage the relationship of trust; and I believe that this is the ultimate foundation of business
.

Thank you Mr. Natsume. Mr. Toshiaki Natsume can be reached via e-mail at natsume@ryosho.com his company's website is http://www.ryoden.com

Previous Interviews

Upcoming Events,

Fiber Optics Expo
January 16-18, Tokyo Big Sight (Tokyo International Exhibition Center)

Second annual event focusing on optical communication devices & equipment. 633 companies exhibited last year and attendance was almost 50,000.

IC Packaging Technology Expo
January 16-18, 2002 at Tokyo Big Sight (Tokyo International Exhibition Center), Tokyo

A variety of equipment, components and materials for IC packaging technology. There are also four other technology related events/exhibition will be held at the same place, such as Internepcon Japan, Electrotest Japan, Electronics Components Expo, Printed Wiring Boards Expo, and Fiber Optics Expo. The scale of this year's exhibition is about three times bigger than the one last year.

Japan Storage Vision 2002
January 23, 2002 at the Tokyo Conference Center

IDC Japan's seminar on the future of Network Storage
and the Japanese market.

Electronic Design and Solution Fair 2002
January 24-25, 2002 at Pacifico Yokohama

This event sponsored in part  by the Japan Electronics and Information Technology Association(JEITA), introduces the latest updates on IC design andsolutions. The event features a keynote speech from the President of eAccess on the Broadband revolution.

 

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